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Hampton_99

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Posted on: August 21, 2010 2:32 pm
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Ranking the Changes - Bears 2009 to 2010



When you think about the 2010 Bears, you draw a natural "link" to the 2009 team. Most analysts have given the Bears a very low power ranking (Not that I care). The general reasoning is that there is some sort of unwritten thesis in the NFL that says a team that is bad in one year, will automatically be bad the next.

But we know that is not the case. The Bengals were one of the worst teams in the NFL in 2008. The Saints were last in the division. The Cowboys didn't even make the playoffs in 2008. And the Packers only won 6 games.

With that, the Bears of 2009 should not be thrown into the same "general ranking" of the year end 2009 team. The Bears have made more changes than most teams in the NFL. The theory is that they are all for the better. The question is whether that pans out to be true. So here is my "impact" ranking of the changes from team we saw closing out 2009 to the team we are seeing to start out 2010.


1) Brian Urlacher is back. This definitely counts as a major change. I also think it is the most overlooked by analysts. The Bears defense was one of the worst 3rd down teams in the NFL in 2010. The primary reason, in my mind, was that we could not plug the middle deep hole. Having Urlacher back in pass defense is, in my opinion, the single biggest improvement this team has made.


2) Julius Peppers FA Pickup. A very close second in my impact ranking. Adding Peppers  (and dumping Ogunlea) solves 2 issues. First it gives us a legit pass rusher who should consistently pressure the QB. Second, he should definitely allow the Bears to have success in their Nickel package by not forcing us to have to bring in a DB or LB to put pressure on the QB.


3) Chester Taylor FA pickup. We lost Kevin Jones in the last game of the preseason in 2009. Matt Forte also got banged up. We had NO ONE to help out. Forte played with a gimpy hammy and knee all year. This year, with Taylor, should Forte get hurt, we have a legit back-up. Also, when considering the Bears horrible short yardage offense, adding a true 3rd down power RB is huge.


4) Mike Martz hired. There are tons of people around who will tell you that Mike Martz is washed up. Most of these people live in Detroit or San Francisco. The truth is, his offense is one of the most dynamic and feared offenses in the history of the NFL. Teams don't like playing Martz offenses because they cannot be "game-planned" for. You can't key in on a guy, and you can't watch tapes to see what might happen - as the same exact play called in exactly the same situation in 2 different games may yield different routes, cadences, primaries, and even pre-snap shifts. 

5) Chris Harris is back with the team. Another huge pick-up. The Bears trade Jamar Williams for Harris. Harris, a guy who can play either Free safety or Strong, is a big pickup as Kevin Payne and Al Afalava were somewhere between medium and bad last year at Safety. If Major Wrights development continues on pace, I see Harris taking over the Strong safety position by mid year. As a side note, if Lance Briggs didn't get hurt for a game late last year, this trade would have never happened. Williams was stellar at Will in Briggs' place.


6) Roberto Garza to  Left Guard. Well... I don't know how I feel about this. My preference would have been to keep Garza at a position he has played his last 60+ games. But, the Bears are looking to better protect Jay Cutlers blind side - especially considering the disaster Omiyale was at the position last year. The impact of this move is huge. Whether it is positive or negative is yet to be determined.

7) Frank Omiyale to Right Tackle. This is another one of those huge impact moves. As with the other offensive line move, the jury is still out on whether it will be a good move or a bad move. The truth is, we should expect Omiyale to play better at RT than he did at LG. The problem is, he was a complete bust at LG...

8) Mark Anderson at Right Defensive End. Replacing Alex Brown.  In 2006, Anderson came in on Nickel packages and played D.End. Going 1 on 1 with the RT, with one goal: Get the QB, he dominated, and got 12 sacks. He's been a disaster since. In 2010, he will likely be the recipient of a lot of single teams. In watching him last week, he looked decent at getting off the snap. The big question mark will be his ability fight off the tackle and make stops on runs his way.

9) Devin Aromashodu is named as a starter. This one confuses me, because he has been named a starter, but have yet to apply the #1 or #2 title. He was still listed as #4 by the end of last year, but has clearly pushed ahead of Earl Bennet for the #3. He is challenging Knox and Hester for the #1, #2 role.

10) Charles Tillman swaps with Zack Bowman. Tillman has never been a shut down corner. He has also never been confused with a ball-hawk. But he has always been "fair" in pass coverage. Considering he is matched up with the #1 receiver 75-80 percent of the time, mostly relies on his wits, and post catch hands to punch the ball out. They tried this experiment last year and it was a disaster. Hopefully Bowman can handle the hot receiver. He was burned last week, and if that continues, this experiment might change yet again.


Honorable mentions: There are several more changes the Bears have made including putting Lance Louis at RG, starting Anthony Adams at DT, moving Clark to HB, getting Pisa back, etc... the truth is the Bears of 2010 are nowhere near the same as 2009. The question is how well all these changes will play out.
Posted on: March 23, 2010 12:42 pm
Edited on: March 23, 2010 12:43 pm
 

A Relationship Evaluation - Cutler & Team


Let me start by saying this is not an “excuse” blog for why cutler threw INT’s. It is intended to analyze the Cutler's position in the framework of the team in 2009, and set expectations for 2010.

One of the things that I think has gone slightly overlooked is overall melding of “relationships” that occurs with a QB.

Let's pick apart some key relationships.

QB & Center / Offensive line:

Problem: Cutler and "Kruetz and Co." were not on same page day 1.

It was very clear that Jay was not on the same page with Kruetz. One of the things I noticed is that when Jay went back into the shot gun, a lot of snaps were hitting him in the knees. There are several reasons this may occur:

   1) Kruetz wasn’t used to snapping in the shotgun.
   2) Kruetz was rushing the snap to get out of the crouch and into position.
   3) Kruetz is just bad at it.

Whatever the reason was, Olin Kruetz needs to fix the issue. In the Shotgun the QB visually picks up the DB’s and the LB’s pre-snap. Having to drop his head to catch a ball breaks concentration. By the time he recovered the snap, D’s had moved. This seemingly insignifant action is a HUGE deal for QB’s.

The other thing I saw a lot last year was; when under center, Kruetz often stepped on Jay’s foot as he took the snap. This just can’t happen. I think more reps in practice fix this for these 2.  Lastly, there was a broken dam to Kruetz’ left  (Pace and Frank Omiyale).

Take a look at Game 1 highlights… You will see exactly what I am talking about.

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-post-recap-full-story">

In watching highlights from several early season games, I note that it seems as though not only were there gaping holes on the left side, Kruetz seemed to not be helping out on that side enough. It was almost as if blocking assignments were missed and Jay was forced to roll right, fire early, or risk getting obliterated by back-side pressure.

Why I think 2010 will be better:

1) Several Oline shifts resulted from an injury to Orlando Pace.  Doing so seemed to help immensely. They looked liked they played a lot better together by the end of the year. 
2) Kruetz and Cutler now have a full year working with each other together.
3) Pace is gone. Williams is now anchoring the left side - 3rd year hopefully prime.
4) We will now have a big blocking TE to help out who is familiar with Martz’ system.
5) Wildcard: Hopefully Josh Beekman or Omiyale will play solidly at Left Guard or we can pick someone via trade or draft.



QB & OC:

Problem: I do not believe Turner and Cutler ever really got along.

It likely all stared in college. Cutler, coming from a H.S. in Indiana, accepted a scholarship to Illinois turning down interest from Purdue, Duke and Maryland to commit. Ron Turner, of course, was the head coach at the time. Cutler's high school football season led straight into basketball season (he was a three-sport star athlete who also had enough  talent as a switch-hitting shortstop to play professionally). He couldn’t make the trip to Champaign for his official visit until the end of December,  at which time Turner told him they were rescinding the scholarship. The offer instead went to a super-stud quarterback from California, named Mike Dlugolecki (who?), who promptly transferred away from Illinois to San Diego State (passing for a career 2,597 yards with 10 touchdowns and 16 interceptions.)

By the end of 2009, Turner was making comments about simplifying the offense – an obvious deflection of blame away from him and on to his players. And, Cutler was in no mood to defend Turner when questioned about him – not throwing him under the bus, but not helping him out either.

“The synergy between the quarterback and play caller is paramount to the success of the team."

Why I think it will be better:

One reason: Turdner is gone – fresh start. Mike Martz and Cutler have no history to get in the way of a good OC / QB relationship. It seems to have gotten off to a great start by all reports.



QB & Receivers:

Problem: No chemistry or experience at the receiver position.

Cutler began training camp begging for a big receiver. He’s the kind of QB that tries to make things happen even when things are going bad. Some will say this is gunslinger mentality. Others will say it’s what makes a good QB a great QB. Either way, he was dealing with essentially 2 rookies (Earl Bennet and Johnny Knox) and Devin Hester (converted PR/KR/DB).  While we saw glimpses of good receiving, we rarely saw a receiver bail Cutler out.  And we saw far more examples of receivers and Cutler being on different pages. This lead to lot’s of miscues and receivers out of position.

The one bright spot, and the reason the Bears Tight End was tops in a lot of fantasy leagues was the pre-season relationship that had developed between Greg Olsen and Cutler. However, the rest of the NFL took note also. And with a lack of experience at the other receiver positions, teams picking their poison chose to match their best DB’s up with Olsen. Although Olsen had the best statistically year of his career. The relationship never reached expectations.

Why I think 2010 will be better:

1) Devin Aromashodu fits the bill for the tall, fast, sure handed, good route running receiver Cutler is looking for. There are questions about Mash’s ability to read defenses and pick up Martz’ playbook. But the last 4 games of the season looked very promising for this relationship.
2) Knox and Bennet now have a year together with Cutler. Knox showed flashes of greatness last year – I expect more in 2010.
3) Hester will go back to PR/KR as primary and be brought in for special situations as a weapon.
4) Martz should be much better at getting Olsen the mismatch, taking advantage of his height and speed. This seemed to be something Turner had difficulty with.

Good article on Devin Aromashodu:

http://www.rototimes.com/article/20
10/3/Impact-Report-Devin-Aromashodu


QB & Playbook:

Problem: Cutler had to cram learning a new playbook, and offensive scheme.

There’s a lot more to this than anyone has given credit to. Turner, while not running the most complicated offense in the world, also did not run the easiest. When free agency began in 2009, (Feb March, April and dating back to Josh McDaniel hire) Cutler was meeting with and learning Josh McDaniel’s new Playbook. Until Cutler began hearing rumors that he was trade bait, he thought he was the QB for the Broncos and was training and learning accordingly.

When he was traded in April, he had to crash course learn a whole new playbook.  Even into the End of May and OTA’s, Cutler still had not completely learned the playbook. Now, keep in mind, a playbook is not just about telling a receiver to “Go deep” and throwing a ball.  It includes formations, pre-snap shifts, cadences, motion, blocking schemes, audibles, hundreds of plays, route trees, screens, runs, drop backs, timing patterns, pick-ups, defensive schemes, reactions to defensive schemes, etc... All this with weird names associated like,  “Float RT Zoom Scram LT Pigeon 731 H Flat”

Jay may have had the basics by the time the season started. But he did not have it all. It wasn’t until likely mid season before the playbook was thoroughly learned.

Why I think 2010 will be better:

Jay and team have now had Martz’ playbook since February 1st. This is a full 2 months more than last year. As important, Jay has known for months the Bears were not staying with Turner. He’s not shifting gears right in the middle.

I think these 3 relationships will be better in 2010. In fact, they have to be. While in 2009 I was charged up because we finally had a franchise QB, in 2010 I’m charged up because we have a team that now has a year together of gelling, a great OC, and a QB who will have the playbook down by Game 1.

Go Bears!!!

Category: NFL
 
 
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